MX23RW : Monday, December 23 05:38:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
1 - 0
Caernarfon

Davies (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wynne (52')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 20.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Haverfordwest County in this match.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawCaernarfon Town
56.46% (0.10700000000001 0.11) 23.22% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 20.32% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.53% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.77% (0.165 0.16)48.23% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (0.15 0.15)70.39% (-0.149 -0.15)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (0.097999999999999 0.1)16.88% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.09% (0.173 0.17)46.91% (-0.172 -0.17)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.99% (0.039999999999999 0.04)38.01% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.22% (0.039999999999999 0.04)74.78% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 56.45%
    Caernarfon Town 20.32%
    Draw 23.22%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 11.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.009 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 56.45%
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 20.32%

Head to Head
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Haverfordwest
0-0
Caernarfon

Shepherd (5'), Williams (33'), Rees (90+3')

Disney (12'), Holmes (32'), Horan (42'), Owens (83')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-2
Caernarfon
Jones-Thomas (68')
Rees (42'), Patten (63')
Edwards (30'), Jones (61')
Gosset (35'), Evans (45'), Edwards (64'), Ojrzynski (85')
Aug 14, 2021 5.15pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Haverfordwest
Gosset (74'), Jones (90+4')
Hughes (32'), Simpson (42'), Thomas (66')

Shepherd (59'), Jones (72'), Summerfield (90+4')
Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
Caernarfon
1-4
Haverfordwest
Edwards (25')
Kenny (39'), Thomas (68'), Edwards (70')
Tibbetts (7')
Wilson (29'), Fawcett (37', 56'), Griffiths (87')
Fawcett (35')
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-1
Caernarfon

(42'), (90+2')
Hayes (74')
Williams (29'), (64'), Tibbetts (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!