MX23RW : Monday, October 7 03:03:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 15, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
University Stadium

Connah's Quay
0 - 1
Pen-y-Bont


Kenny (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kircough (78')
Harling (41'), Borge (50'), Borge (69')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-2 Barry
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawPen-y-Bont
32.56% (-0.325 -0.33) 26.03% (0.21 0.21) 41.4% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.42% (-0.792 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09% (-0.97499999999999 -0.97)50.9% (0.972 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.22% (-0.863 -0.86)72.77% (0.861 0.86)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (-0.694 -0.69)29.41% (0.693 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (-0.85599999999999 -0.86)65.4% (0.85299999999999 0.85)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (-0.376 -0.38)24.32% (0.374 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (-0.533 -0.53)58.7% (0.53100000000001 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 32.56%
    Pen-y-Bont 41.4%
    Draw 26.02%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 8.75% (0.173 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 32.56%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.15% (0.276 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 10.11% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.15% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.4%

Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Pen-y-Bont
0-1
Connah's Quay

MacDonald (7'), Richards (54'), Harling (70'), Davies (90+4')
Wilde (87')
Edwards (12'), Franklin (56'), Poole (90+1'), Stratulis (90+4')
Poole (90+5')
Sep 30, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 10
Connah's Quay
4-2
Pen-y-Bont
Davies (11', 58'), Kenny (24'), Harrington (90')
Davies (36'), Kenny (65'), Disney (90+4')
Venables (70' pen.), Jefferies (81')
Little (22'), Evans (65'), Kircough (68'), Owen (90+1')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Connah's Quay
Owen (81' pen.)
Nash (65')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Pen-y-Bont
0-1
Connah's Quay
Hayes (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont118211951426
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest11632134921
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU116231711620
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon105231712517
5Bala TownBala Town114431612416
6The New SaintsNew Saints75022071315
7Newtown AFCNewtown114341523-815
8Barry Town UnitedBarry113441218-613
9Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay103251412211
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town113171318-510
11Briton Ferry9126821-135
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth11119526-214


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