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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
0 - 1
Connah's Quay


Jefferies (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hayes (73')
Nash (10'), Horan (39'), Hayes (86'), Morris (90+2'), Disney (90+2'), Firth (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Airbus UK 0-3 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
27.09% (0.224 0.22) 25.52% (0.073 0.07) 47.39% (-0.295 -0.3)
Both teams to score 52.08% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.73% (-0.145 -0.14)51.26% (0.146 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.9% (-0.128 -0.13)73.1% (0.129 0.13)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46% (0.104 0.1)33.54% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.82% (0.111 0.11)70.18% (-0.108 -0.11)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (-0.191 -0.19)21.64% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (-0.294 -0.29)54.76% (0.296 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 27.09%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 47.38%
    Draw 25.51%
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 7.93% (0.069 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.63% (0.037 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.33% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.41% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.58% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 27.09%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 11.1%
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.5% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.74% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.34% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.66% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 47.38%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
2-0
Pen-y-Bont
Horan (38'), Hayes (75')
Mendes (74'), Harrington (88'), Franklin (89'), Holmes (90+3')

Wood (81')
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
1-0
Pen-y-Bont
Georgievsky (90' og.)
Gosset (20'), Donohue (20'), Edwards (90+3')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-3
Connah's Quay

MacDonald (21'), (51'), Reynolds (86'), D. Wood (90+1')
Thomas (15'), Hayes (37', 85')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Aug 28, 2021 5.15pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Connah's Quay
Harling (21')
Borge (78')
Harrison (35')
Curran (69'), Owens (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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