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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
3 - 1
Aberystwyth

Borge (26'), Wood (39' pen.), Owen (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Flint (34' pen.)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 2-3 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, September 17 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, September 16 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawAberystwyth Town
44.9% (3.939 3.94) 25% (-0.757 -0.76) 30.09% (-3.187 -3.19)
Both teams to score 55.74% (1.184 1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (2.137 2.14)47.4% (-2.142 -2.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (1.95 1.95)69.61% (-1.955 -1.96)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.85% (2.792 2.79)21.14% (-2.797 -2.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46% (4.165 4.17)53.99% (-4.17 -4.17)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (-1.042 -1.04)29.31% (1.036 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (-1.293 -1.29)65.29% (1.288 1.29)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 44.9%
    Aberystwyth Town 30.09%
    Draw 24.99%
Pen-y-BontDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.443 0.44)
2-0 @ 7.48% (0.564 0.56)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.592 0.59)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.579 0.58)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.288 0.29)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.359 0.36)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.327 0.33)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.194 0.19)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 44.9%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.572 -0.57)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.115 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.6% (-0.945 -0.94)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.47 -0.47)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.734 -0.73)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.365 -0.37)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 30.09%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
4-0
Aberystwyth
Ahmun (8', 15', 20'), Wood (77')
Evans (60')

Owen (52'), Rimmer (90')
Darlington (60')
Oct 22, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-3
Pen-y-Bont

Jones (29'), Jenkins (90+1')
Waite (16', 49'), Watts (34')
Jefferies (90+2')
Mar 27, 2021 2.30pm
Aberystwyth
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Franklin (33')
Williams (49'), Owen (72'), Owen (77'), Roberts (80'), Thorn (82')
Owen (90+4')
Davies (59')
Snaith (83')
Sep 15, 2020 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Aberystwyth
Wood (16')
Davies (37'), Wood (46')
Bradford (47')
Bradford (37'), Rimmer (45+1'), Williams (69'), Jones (71'), Rowe (82'), (88')
Jones (82')
Apr 10, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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