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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2022 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Bala Town logo

Aberystwyth
1 - 4
Bala Town

Evans (85' pen.)
Rimmer (75'), Bradford (88'), Evans (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Smith (22'), Peate (57'), Rimmer (68' og.), Edwards (76' pen.)
Ramsey (71'), Peate (84')
Venables (2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-2 New Saints
Tuesday, August 30 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Bala Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-0 Bala Town
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 56.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawBala Town
20.48% (-5.758 -5.76) 22.94% (-1.658 -1.66) 56.58% (7.415 7.42)
Both teams to score 52.65% (-1.592 -1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.14% (1.222 1.22)46.86% (-1.225 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.89% (1.131 1.13)69.11% (-1.134 -1.13)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.94% (-4.52 -4.52)37.06% (4.519 4.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.16% (-4.774 -4.77)73.84% (4.774 4.77)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (3.245 3.25)16.35% (-3.247 -3.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.04% (5.577 5.58)45.96% (-5.579 -5.58)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 20.48%
    Bala Town 56.58%
    Draw 22.94%
Aberystwyth TownDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 6.01% (-1.145 -1.15)
2-1 @ 5.41% (-1.144 -1.14)
2-0 @ 2.99% (-1.034 -1.03)
3-1 @ 1.79% (-0.663 -0.66)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.378 -0.38)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.516 -0.52)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 20.48%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.77 -0.77)
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.443 -0.44)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 10.97% (0.58 0.58)
0-2 @ 9.94% (1.467 1.47)
1-2 @ 9.86% (0.355 0.36)
0-3 @ 6% (1.396 1.4)
1-3 @ 5.95% (0.788 0.79)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.055 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.72% (0.84 0.84)
1-4 @ 2.7% (0.59 0.59)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.156 0.16)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.372 0.37)
1-5 @ 0.98% (0.29 0.29)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 56.58%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Bala Town
2-2
Aberystwyth
Evans (59'), Peate (69')
Smith (65'), Kay (85'), Shannon (90')
Jones (86'), Veale (90+4')
Thorn (72')
Aug 31, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-1
Bala Town

Veale (57'), Phillips (67')
Darlington (27' og.)
Smith (34')
Dec 9, 2020 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-2
Bala Town
Davies (10')
Jones (16'), Williams (87')
Roberts (14' pen.), Nalatche Mendes (30')
Stephens (79'), Morris (90')
Oct 10, 2020 5.15pm
Bala Town
5-2
Aberystwyth
Evans (39'), Smith (44'), Venables (57' pen., 60'), Correia (82')
Stephens (67'), Peate (76')
Williams (24'), Hewitt (68' pen.)
(67')
Nov 8, 2019 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-5
Bala Town

Jones (17')
Jones (28'), Robles (44', 78'), Venables (71', 82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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