MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 16:46:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Leeds logo

Hull City
3 - 3
Leeds

Kamara (5', 89'), Pedro (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tanaka (46'), James (62'), Piroe (72')
Rodon (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Hull City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, January 1 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 0-2 Leeds United

Having seemingly corrected their away form in recent weeks, we back Leeds United to make their superior quality count on Saturday and seal another victory in comfortable fashion in this Yorkshire derby. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-0 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Hull CityDrawLeeds United
18.16% (1.788 1.79) 22.35% (0.776 0.78) 59.49% (-2.565 -2.57)
Both teams to score 50.61% (1.114 1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.38% (-0.346 -0.35)47.62% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.18% (-0.32 -0.32)69.82% (0.318 0.32)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.98% (1.972 1.97)40.02% (-1.973 -1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33% (1.759 1.76)76.67% (-1.76 -1.76)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.37% (-0.94799999999999 -0.95)15.63% (0.947 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.37% (-1.787 -1.79)44.63% (1.787 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 18.16%
    Leeds United 59.47%
    Draw 22.35%
Hull CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 5.73% (0.378 0.38)
2-1 @ 4.87% (0.415 0.42)
2-0 @ 2.62% (0.302 0.3)
3-1 @ 1.49% (0.198 0.2)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 18.16%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.246 0.25)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 11.6% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-2 @ 10.77% (-0.57 -0.57)
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.67% (-0.592 -0.59)
1-3 @ 6.11% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-4 @ 3.09% (-0.388 -0.39)
1-4 @ 2.83% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.063 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.15% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-5 @ 1.05% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 59.47%

How you voted: Hull City vs Leeds

Hull City
14.8%
Draw
3.3%
Leeds United
82.0%
61
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Leeds
2-0
Hull City
Fernandez (63'), Piroe (81')
Rodon (29'), Gruev (79')

Millar (57')
Apr 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 40
Leeds
3-1
Hull City
Byram (9'), Summerville (88' pen.), James (90+7')
Firpo (27'), Summerville (89')
Carvalho (34')
Tufan (54'), Michael Seri (70')
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Hull City
0-0
Leeds
Rosenior (0'), Twine (54'), Connolly (69'), Philogene-Bidace (80')
Rodon (43'), Ampadu (52'), Ayling (90+1'), Ayling (90')
Rodon (60')
Sep 16, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
1-1
Hull City
(Aggregate 1-1 | Hull City win 9-8 on penalties)
Alioski (90+3')
Alioski (45+1')
Wilks (5')
Scott (90+2')
Feb 29, 2020 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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