Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby0 - 1Leeds
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 2-1 West Brom
Thursday, December 26 at 5.30pm in Championship
Thursday, December 26 at 5.30pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Leeds
Thursday, December 26 at 8pm in Championship
Thursday, December 26 at 8pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
43
We said: Derby County 2-2 Leeds United
Derby have avoided defeat in three of their last four matches, and while they face an almighty test in their home clash against the league leaders, we think that they will do enough to hold Leeds to a draw in their final match of the calendar year. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Leeds United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Leeds United |
26.27% ( -1.78) | 25.31% ( -0.69) | 48.42% ( 2.47) |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( 0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
