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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Ewood Park
Leeds logo

Blackburn
1 - 0
Leeds

Cantwell (22' pen.)
Travis (54'), Dolan (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bogle (23'), Ramazani (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Luton
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 0-2 Leeds United

Blackburn Rovers certainly showed their ability to compete with the Championship's stronger sides in their away win over Middlesbrough, but they face another tricky test on Saturday. With Leeds United growing in confidence and boasting plenty of quality all over the pitch, we back Farke's men to continue their winning run at Ewood Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 23.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
23.94% (1.792 1.79) 24.6% (1.508 1.51) 51.46% (-3.303 -3.3)
Both teams to score 51.98% (-2.608 -2.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (-4.519 -4.52)49.97% (4.516 4.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (-4.17 -4.17)71.96% (4.168 4.17)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (-0.866 -0.87)35.5% (0.864 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.73% (-0.906 -0.91)72.27% (0.90300000000001 0.9)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (-2.924 -2.92)19.41% (2.921 2.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.77% (-5.024 -5.02)51.22% (5.022 5.02)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 23.94%
    Leeds United 51.46%
    Draw 24.59%
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 7.14% (1.081 1.08)
2-1 @ 6.06% (0.272 0.27)
2-0 @ 3.7% (0.486 0.49)
3-1 @ 2.09% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.28% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.94%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.78 0.78)
0-0 @ 6.89% (1.18 1.18)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 11.29% (1 1)
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.247 -0.25)
0-2 @ 9.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.67 -0.67)
0-3 @ 5.06% (-0.514 -0.51)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.516 -0.52)
0-4 @ 2.07% (-0.439 -0.44)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.3 -0.3)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 51.46%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Leeds

Blackburn Rovers
17.3%
Draw
15.4%
Leeds United
67.3%
52
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 43
Leeds
0-1
Blackburn

Fernandez (90+7')
Szmodics (82')
Carter (28'), Dolan (42'), Tronstad (47'), Pears (85')
Dec 9, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Blackburn
0-2
Leeds

Moran (17'), Wharton (65'), Carter (79')
James (27'), Summerville (75')
Gray (63'), Ampadu (85')
Jul 28, 2021 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Blackburn
1-1
Leeds
McBride (72')
Struijk (80')
Jul 4, 2020 3pm
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds31199362194366
2Burnley31161323792861
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
4Sunderland301610445261958
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn31136123531445
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough301281049391044
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry31118124140141
12Watford30125134042-241
13Queens Park RangersQPR311011103540-541
14Millwall301010103027340
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd31910123445-1137
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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