Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby2 - 1West Brom
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Derby
Friday, December 20 at 8pm in Championship
Friday, December 20 at 8pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Bristol City
Sunday, December 22 at 3pm in Championship
Sunday, December 22 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
26
We said: Derby County 2-1 West Bromwich Albion
After a heartbreaking defeat at Luton last week, Derby will be raring to produce a good display and three points in front of their Pride Park faithful. Likely under the leadership of an interim manager, the impending departure of Corberan is poised to send shockwaves around the Black Country, with an unsettled West Brom side set to struggle on Boxing Day. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Derby County in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Derby County.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
40.27% ( 0.19) | 26.93% ( -0.09) | 32.8% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.64% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
