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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park
West Brom logo

Derby
1 - 0
West Brom

Kazim-Richards (58')
Davies (18'), Thompson (20'), Stearman (51'), Cashin (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Clarke (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Derby County and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Derby County 1-2 West Bromwich Albion

Derby have proven to be a tough nut to crack on home turf so far and will fancy their chances of securing a positive result, albeit against more illustrious opponents, and while we expect them to put in a good shift, we are also backing West Brom to get the job done come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 52.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
21.49%26.36%52.16%
Both teams to score 44.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.23%58.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.71%79.29%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.17%42.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.85%79.15%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32%22.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67%56.33%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 21.49%
    West Bromwich Albion 52.15%
    Draw 26.36%
Derby CountyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 8.24%
2-1 @ 5.18%
2-0 @ 3.49%
3-1 @ 1.46%
3-2 @ 1.09%
3-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.49%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 14.41%
0-2 @ 10.69%
1-2 @ 9.07%
0-3 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 4.48%
0-4 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 52.15%

How you voted: Derby vs West Brom

Derby County
15.3%
Draw
19.4%
West Bromwich Albion
65.3%
124
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
West Brom
0-0
Derby
Livermore (45+1')
Buchanan (33')
Jul 8, 2020 5pm
Aug 24, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Derby
1-1
West Brom
Waghorn (6' pen.)
Lawrence (90')
Zohore (84' pen.)
Ferguson (37')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Oct 24, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 14
West Brom
1-4
Derby
Rodriguez (83')
Dawson (25')
Marriott (10'), Lawrence (15'), Wilson (51'), Malone (71')
Huddlestone (44'), Malone (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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