Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 55.32%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.79%) and 1-3 (6.73%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Sydney FC |
24.09% ( -0.15) | 20.59% ( -0) | 55.32% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 66.12% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.56% ( -0.16) | 31.44% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.09% ( -0.19) | 52.91% ( 0.19) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.76% ( -0.2) | 25.24% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.01% ( -0.27) | 59.99% ( 0.28) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.45% ( -0.01) | 11.55% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.51% ( -0.02) | 36.49% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.09% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.45% Total : 20.59% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.63% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.57% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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