Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 60.33%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 20.62% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
60.33% ( -0.11) | 19.04% ( 0.04) | 20.62% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 67.01% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.74% ( -0.13) | 28.26% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.93% ( -0.16) | 49.06% ( 0.16) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.69% ( -0.06) | 9.31% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.58% ( -0.15) | 31.42% ( 0.15) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.89% ( -0.03) | 26.11% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.83% ( -0.04) | 61.17% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.23% Total : 60.33% | 1-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 19.04% | 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 20.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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