Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | AVS |
29.79% ( -0.06) | 26.56% ( 0.04) | 43.65% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.61% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.01% ( -0.17) | 53.98% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.57% ( -0.14) | 75.43% ( 0.14) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.09% ( -0.13) | 32.91% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.51% ( -0.15) | 69.49% ( 0.15) |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.44% ( -0.06) | 24.56% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.96% ( -0.09) | 59.04% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | AVS |
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.79% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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