Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 5, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense2 - 1Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 3-2 Moreirense
Saturday, November 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, November 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, November 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, November 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
39
We said: Moreirense 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
While Sporting should be expected to claim a fifth straight win over Moreirense, a dip in performance and results since Amorim's departure suggests the Lions could face more bumps in the road in their transition to a new regime. Therefore, a draw is a plausible outcome on Wednesday, which would be particularly satisfying for the hosts, who could extend their unbeaten streak at home to six this term. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 79%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 6.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.72%) and 0-3 (12.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.79%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
6.4% ( -0.33) | 14.6% ( -0.24) | 79% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 37.62% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
