Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 17.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Moreirense |
60.33% ( -2.5) | 22.24% ( 0.79) | 17.43% ( 1.71) |
Both teams to score 49.59% ( 1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.73% ( -0.4) | 48.26% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.59% ( -0.37) | 70.41% ( 0.36) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.43% ( -0.94) | 15.57% ( 0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.48% ( -1.78) | 44.52% ( 1.78) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.73% ( 1.93) | 41.27% ( -1.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.2% ( 1.67) | 77.79% ( -1.67) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.56) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.59) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.39) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.21% Total : 60.32% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.23% | 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
3 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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