Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 22, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon6 - 0Amarante
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 2-4 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, November 10 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, November 10 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Amarante 6-1 Juventude Lajense
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
We said: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Amarante
While Amarante have breezed through the opening three rounds, they have been handed arguably the toughest challenge in the fourth round and will look to show their mettle against the best side in the country. However, given the gulf in quality and depth between the two sides, we are backing Sporting Lisbon to run riot at the Estadio Jose Alvalade on Friday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 92.5%. A draw had a probability of 5.8% and a win for Amarante had a probability of 1.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.7%) and 2-0 (11.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.72%), while for an Amarante win it was 0-1 (0.76%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Amarante |
92.5% ( 0.56) | 5.75% ( -0.33) | 1.74% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 32.41% ( -2.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
