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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 14, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Moreirense

Nacional
1 - 0
Moreirense

Gomes (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Alan (24'), Marcelo (90'), Miguel Costa Santos (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-1 Nacional
Saturday, December 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, December 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Nacional 0-2 Moreirense

Moreirense have put together a fine run of results in recent weeks, including victories over Porto and Sporting Lisbon, and will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence. While we expect Nacional to put up a fight, we are backing Peixoto's side to come away with all three points.  Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawMoreirense
41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.49%32.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.93% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19% (0.007000000000005 0.01)52.81% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)74.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.38% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.81% (0.0039999999999978 0)60.19% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 41%
    Moreirense 32.51%
    Draw 26.48%
NacionalDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 41%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 9.19%
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 32.51%

How you voted: Nacional vs Moreirense

Nacional
21.4%
Draw
35.7%
Moreirense
42.9%
14
Head to Head
May 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Moreirense
2-2
Nacional
Ferraresi (62'), Luis (81')
Simao (16'), Franco (44'), Luis (78'), Soares (90+1'), Camara (90+4')
Soares (43' og.), Rochez (74')
Mendes (18'), Azouni (53'), Bessa (66'), Danilovic (71'), Pedrao (90+1')
Jan 17, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Nacional
0-1
Moreirense

Riascos (42'), Azouni (53'), Micael (76'), Pedrao (83')
Vitoria (78')
Conte (19'), Pacheco (30'), Vitoria (63'), Ferraresi (90+2'), Soares (90+6')
Jan 28, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 19
Moreirense
2-1
Nacional
Chiquinho (15', 56')
Pacheco (76')
Hamzaoui (87')
Cesar (31'), Hamzaoui (71'), Camacho (84')
Camacho (91')
Aug 19, 2018 4pm
Gameweek 2
Nacional
1-2
Moreirense
Witi (50')
Nuno (8'), Tavares (61')
Aberhoune (17'), Aurelio (23'), Ndiaye (45'), Luiz (84'), Mendes (93')
Apr 17, 2017 8pm
Nacional
0-1
Moreirense

Sequeira (80'), Goncalves (88')
Ramirez (15')
Makaridze (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon18142251143744
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto18131441142740
4Braga18104431191234
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1810172019131
6Casa Pia187652222027
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes186842824426
8MoreirenseMoreirense186572225-323
9Gil Vicente185762227-522
10Estoril PraiaEstoril185672130-921
11FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
12Rio AveRio Ave185581831-1320
13Nacional185491624-819
14Estrela Amadora1844101630-1416
15AroucaArouca1844101530-1516
16SC FarenseFarense183691123-1215
17AVS182971427-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1826101329-1612


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