Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Moreirense |
41% ( -0) | 26.49% | 32.51% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.93% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.19% ( 0.01) | 52.81% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.57% ( 0.01) | 74.43% ( -0) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.61% ( 0) | 25.38% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.81% ( 0) | 60.19% ( -0) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.6% ( 0.01) | 30.4% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.4% ( 0.01) | 66.6% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.43% Total : 41% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 9.19% 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |