Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Moreirense |
40.24% | 27.99% | 31.76% |
Both teams to score 47.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.28% | 58.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.74% | 79.25% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.44% | 28.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.65% | 64.35% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.04% | 33.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.37% | 70.63% |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 12.15% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.71% Total : 40.24% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.7% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |