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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Peterborough United |
44.11% ( 0.5) | 24.31% ( -0.19) | 31.57% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 58.85% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.33% ( 0.75) | 43.66% ( -0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.94% ( 0.73) | 66.05% ( -0.74) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.05% ( 0.53) | 19.94% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.89% ( 0.85) | 52.1% ( -0.85) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.51% ( 0.17) | 26.48% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.32% ( 0.23) | 61.67% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.87% 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.99% Total : 44.11% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
16 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 28 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |