Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Toulouse |
45.93% ( -0.05) | 26.02% ( 0.3) | 28.05% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 51.21% ( -1.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.28% ( -1.37) | 52.72% ( 1.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.64% ( -1.18) | 74.35% ( 1.18) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% ( -0.6) | 22.91% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.33% ( -0.89) | 56.67% ( 0.89) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.44% ( -0.92) | 33.56% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.79% ( -1.02) | 70.2% ( 1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.93% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |