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Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Saint-Etienne

Toulouse
2 - 1
St Etienne

Babicka (55'), Aboukhlal (85')
Sierro (19'), King (49'), Casseres Jr (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stassin (53')
Bouchouari (10'), Abdelhamid (49'), Appiah (61'), Stassin (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last Game: Monaco 2-0 Toulouse
Saturday, December 7 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last Game: St Etienne 0-2 Marseille
Sunday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-0 Saint-Etienne

 The hosts have enjoyed a significantly improved run of form in recent weeks, securing four wins in their last six matches, and with the visitors struggling both defensively and offensively, we believe Toulouse will extend their streak with a comfortable victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawSaint-Etienne
61.95% (0.0049999999999955 0) 21.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 16.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 49.46% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)47.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)69.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.25% (0.0049999999999955 0)14.75% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)42.97% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)41.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 61.94%
    Saint-Etienne 16.43%
    Draw 21.62%
ToulouseDrawSaint-Etienne
1-0 @ 11.85%
2-0 @ 11.34%
2-1 @ 9.84%
3-0 @ 7.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.3%
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 61.94%
1-1 @ 10.28%
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 21.62%
0-1 @ 5.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.33%
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 16.43%

How you voted: Toulouse vs St Etienne

Toulouse
73.5%
Draw
18.1%
Saint-Etienne
8.4%
83
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2020 6.15pm
Gameweek 31
Toulouse
P-P
St Etienne
Sep 15, 2019 4pm
Gameweek 5
St Etienne
2-2
Toulouse
Hamouma (45', 56')
Perrin (37'), Moukoudi (79'), Youssouf (91')
Gradel (15' pen.), Leya Iseka (24')
Apr 28, 2019 4pm
Gameweek 34
St Etienne
2-0
Toulouse
Beric (2', 10')
Debuchy (68')

Sangare (47'), Sylla (83')
Sep 25, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 7
Toulouse
2-3
St Etienne
Gradel (63'), Durmaz (78')
Todibo (87')
Diony (23'), Cabella (66'), Salibur (75')
Monnet-Paquet (21'), Cabella (90')
Jan 14, 2018 2pm
St Etienne
2-0
Toulouse
Beric (45' pen.), Diousse (86')
Dabo (80')

Gradel (38'), Delort (45'), Amian (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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