Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Gerard Houllier
Lyon1 - 0St Etienne
We said: Lyon 2-0 Saint-Etienne
Lyon are unbeaten in five Ligue 1 games, and in their last 21 against newly-promoted sides, but they will be seeking three points here, as opposed to merely extending that run. Form may often go out the window on derby day, but this will be a difficult place for Saint-Etienne to turn their awful away record around at. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 16.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
65.58% ( -0.87) | 18.35% ( 0.31) | 16.07% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 60.22% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
