Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 49.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
49.26% ( -1.82) | 25.6% ( 0.57) | 25.15% ( 1.24) |
Both teams to score 50.17% ( -0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.05% ( -1.24) | 52.95% ( 1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.45% ( -1.06) | 74.55% ( 1.06) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.48% ( -1.27) | 21.52% ( 1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.43% ( -1.98) | 54.57% ( 1.98) |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.93% ( 0.42) | 36.07% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.15% ( 0.43) | 72.85% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.33) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.35% Total : 49.25% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.9% Total : 25.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |