Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
St Etienne0 - 2Le Havre
We said: Saint-Etienne 1-1 Le Havre
Neither club has strengthened too much in the market and could cancel each other out in a fixture with little to separate the two as both may get off the mark here. Le Havre are sticking with much of the squad which narrowly survived last season, and last week's performance may give some confidence, but an away win looks unlikely here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Le Havre |
52.77% ( 0.19) | 24.68% ( -0.03) | 22.55% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.15% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
