Le Havre1 - 4PSG
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
We said: Le Havre 0-4 Paris Saint-Germain
Although Le Havre did draw with PSG near the end of the 2023-24 Ligue 1 season, it is difficult to see how they can overcome the French champions on Friday. Even without Mbappe, it would not be surprising to see Les Parisiens score multiple goals and open the campaign in resounding fashion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 0-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Le Havre win it was 2-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
18.35% ( -0.07) | 20.13% ( -0.01) | 61.51% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.57% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.72% ( -0.05) | 37.27% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.51% ( -0.06) | 59.48% ( 0.06) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% ( -0.11) | 33.67% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.67% ( -0.12) | 70.32% ( 0.11) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.3% ( 0) | 11.69% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.2% ( 0.01) | 36.79% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Le Havre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.29% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 18.36% | 1-1 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.13% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.06% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.49% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.79% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.06% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.63% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.28% Total : 61.51% |
