MX23RW : Thursday, January 9 10:59:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stade Oceane
Nantes

Le Havre
0 - 1
Nantes


Sabbi (16'), Kuzyaev (83'), Grandsir (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bamba (90+3')
Pallois (66'), Bamba (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 1-1 Le Havre
Saturday, April 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-3 Lyon
Sunday, April 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Le Havre 1-2 Nantes

While Le Havre have broadly thrived at Stade Oceane on their Ligue 1 return, blowing hot and cold in recent home matches means this one is harder to call. Nantes, on the other hand, have shown greater consistency in recent away matches, possibly giving them the edge on Sunday. Even though a draw could be expected, we will stick our necks out and opt for a road victory given that the Dean Club are winless in their last eight matches against Nantes in all competitions (five losses). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
Le HavreDrawNantes
39.53% (0.040999999999997 0.04) 27.64% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 32.84% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.52% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.81% (0.087000000000003 0.09)57.19% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.96% (0.07 0.07)78.05% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (0.066000000000003 0.07)28.23% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (0.081000000000003 0.08)63.94% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.6% (0.038000000000011 0.04)32.4% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.08% (0.038 0.04)68.92% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 39.52%
    Nantes 32.83%
    Draw 27.63%
Le HavreDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 39.52%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.15% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 10.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.35% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.83%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Nantes

Le Havre
Draw
Nantes
Le Havre
26.7%
Draw
36.7%
Nantes
36.7%
30
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Nantes
0-0
Le Havre
N'Diaye (85'), Sangante (90+6')
Ayew (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille16103337191833
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1677226161028
5Lyon168442820828
6Nice1676331211027
7Lens166641915424
8Toulouse167361817124
9Auxerre166372426-221
10StrasbourgStrasbourg165562828020
11Reims165562121020
12Brest166192429-519
13Rennes165292223-117
14Angers164481626-1016
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
16NantesNantes163671825-715
17Le HavreLe Havre1640121234-2212
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1623111539-249


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