MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 00:06:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Le Havre

Lens
1 - 1
Le Havre

Frankowski (58')
Gradit (62'), Aguilar (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sabbi (78' pen.)
Ayew (51'), Operi (63'), Kechta (69'), Bayo (90+5'), Toure (90+2'), Bayo (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Lens
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-0 Le Havre

Lens have had a rough few weeks by losing to two direct top-four rivals, but a favourable game on paper should see them return to form this weekend. Le Havre have shown no form whatsoever in recent weeks, and a lack of goals is sinking them deeper into trouble, with away results also a huge concern after a recent defeat at Clermont. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawLe Havre
57.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.17% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 19.54% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.46% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.96% (0.051000000000002 0.05)49.03% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.88% (0.044 0.04)71.11% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (0.013000000000005 0.01)16.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.1% (0.027000000000001 0.03)46.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7% (0.042999999999999 0.04)39.3% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24% (0.041 0.04)76% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lens 57.27%
    Le Havre 19.54%
    Draw 23.17%
LensDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 57.27%
1-1 @ 11.02%
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 19.54%

How you voted: Lens vs Le Havre

Lens
91.9%
Draw
2.7%
Le Havre
5.4%
37
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Le Havre
0-0
Lens
Sabbi (29'), Sangante (65')
Diouf (12'), Danso (20'), Frankowski (34')
Jan 31, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 22
Le Havre
0-0
Lens
Fortes (29')
Aug 17, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 4
Lens
1-3
Le Havre
Gillet (46')
Teka (24'), Gillet (43'), Fortes (45'), Perez (75')
Kadewere (67', 79'), Bese (84')
Dina (30'), Fontaine (60')
Apr 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Lens
0-0
Le Havre
Teka (69'), Doucoure (74')
Bain (34'), Youga (58'), Fontaine (66')
Youga (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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