Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens1 - 0Brest
We said: Lens 2-2 Brest
While Brest undoubtedly have better form coming into this match, Lens are no pushover and are well capable of giving any side a run for their money on their day. The Blood and Gold have not lost back-to-back home league games in over two years, and we feel that they will be able to secure a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Brest |
43.27% ( -0.03) | 25.53% ( -0.01) | 31.2% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.79% ( 0.04) | 49.21% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.73% ( 0.03) | 71.27% ( -0.03) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.34% ( -0) | 22.66% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.7% ( 0) | 56.3% ( -0) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( 0.04) | 29.47% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.52% ( 0.05) | 65.48% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 43.27%
Brest 31.2%
Draw 25.52%
| Lens | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.27% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.2% |
How you voted: Lens vs Brest
Lens
29.3%Draw
36.6%Brest
34.1%41
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 1
Brest
3-2
Lens
Feb 5, 2023 4.05pm
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 1
Lens
3-2
Brest
Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
Mar 5, 2022 4pm
