Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens0 - 0Freiburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lens 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, February 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, February 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Dortmund 3-0 Freiburg
Friday, February 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, February 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Lens 2-1 Freiburg
With Lens coming into the game on the back of a three-game winning run, and Freiburg having lost three on the bounce, there is no doubt as to who will come into the tie with more confidence. Lens are also extremely difficult to beat at home, given the raucous atmosphere at the Bollaert-Delelis, and Freiburg have lost their last four away games, but the tie will most probably still hang in the balance ahead of next week's second leg, despite a home win looking likely. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 53.89%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Freiburg |
53.89% ( -0.17) | 22.81% ( 0.03) | 23.3% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.04% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
