Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.91%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.92%) and 0-1 (7.81%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Middlesbrough |
22.74% ( -0.44) | 21.36% ( -0.13) | 55.91% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 61.43% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.21% ( 0.12) | 36.8% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.04% ( 0.13) | 58.97% ( -0.13) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% ( -0.3) | 29.28% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.76% ( -0.37) | 65.24% ( 0.37) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.86% ( 0.22) | 13.14% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.19% ( 0.43) | 39.81% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.17% Total : 22.74% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.36% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.34% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.88% Total : 55.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 |
10 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 38 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Portsmouth | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 29 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
21 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
22 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 21 |
> Championship Full Table |