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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Derby
1 - 1
Plymouth

Yates (8')
Jackson (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Randell (41')
Bundu (42'), Sorinola (65'), Mumba (68'), Grimshaw (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Derby
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 1-0 Plymouth Argyle

After a much-needed win at Coventry earlier in the week, Derby should be confident of putting a struggling Plymouth outfit to the sword at Pride Park. Despite their recent home success over bottom side Portsmouth, we are not expecting the Pilgrims to record back-to-back maximums, with their woeful away form likely to continue this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 67.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawPlymouth Argyle
67.52% (0.0010000000000048 0) 19.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 12.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 45.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)47.34% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.56% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.96% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)13.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.39% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)39.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.6% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)47.4% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)82.79% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 67.51%
    Plymouth Argyle 12.66%
    Draw 19.82%
Derby CountyDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 12.82%
1-0 @ 12.59%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 8.71%
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.44%
4-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.43%
5-0 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 67.51%
1-1 @ 9.4%
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 19.82%
0-1 @ 4.62%
1-2 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 12.66%

How you voted: Derby vs Plymouth

Derby County
71.7%
Draw
13.3%
Plymouth Argyle
15.0%
60
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 29
Plymouth
2-1
Derby
Wright (59'), Hardie (70' pen.)
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Derby
2-3
Plymouth
Collins (26'), Mendez-Laing (38')
McGoldrick (57')
Whittaker (56'), Cosgrove (77', 90')
Mumba (34')
Jan 26, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-0
Derby
Mackie (82')
Fallon (29'), Sawyer (45')

McEveley (14'), Pearson (38'), Hunt (45'), Savage (78'), Buxton (81')
Aug 22, 2009 3pm
Derby
2-1
Plymouth
Buxton (40'), Addison (90')
Addison (76')
Judge (17' pen.)
Fletcher (90')
Feb 7, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
0-3
Derby
Hulse (46', 52'), Teale (43')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd19125227111639
2Leeds UnitedLeeds19115333132038
3Burnley1910722471737
4Sunderland19106328141436
5Middlesbrough1994633221131
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn189452217531
7Watford189362624230
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1961122114729
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds197572328-526
10Norwich CityNorwich196763530525
11Millwall186752016425
12Bristol City196762424025
13Swansea CitySwansea196671918124
14Coventry CityCoventry195682527-221
15Stoke CityStoke195682024-421
16Derby CountyDerby195592226-420
17Preston North EndPreston1931061826-819
18Luton TownLuton1954102134-1319
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
20Queens Park RangersQPR193971826-818
21Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
23Portsmouth173772130-916
24Hull City1936101727-1015


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