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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Derby
1 - 1
Plymouth

Yates (8')
Jackson (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Randell (41')
Bundu (42'), Sorinola (65'), Mumba (68'), Grimshaw (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Derby
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 1-0 Plymouth Argyle

After a much-needed win at Coventry earlier in the week, Derby should be confident of putting a struggling Plymouth outfit to the sword at Pride Park. Despite their recent home success over bottom side Portsmouth, we are not expecting the Pilgrims to record back-to-back maximums, with their woeful away form likely to continue this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 67.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawPlymouth Argyle
67.52% (0.0010000000000048 0) 19.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 12.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 45.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)47.34% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.56% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.96% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)13.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.39% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)39.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.6% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)47.4% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)82.79% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 67.51%
    Plymouth Argyle 12.66%
    Draw 19.82%
Derby CountyDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 12.82%
1-0 @ 12.59%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 8.71%
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.44%
4-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.43%
5-0 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 67.51%
1-1 @ 9.4%
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 19.82%
0-1 @ 4.62%
1-2 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 12.66%

How you voted: Derby vs Plymouth

Derby County
71.7%
Draw
13.3%
Plymouth Argyle
15.0%
60
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 29
Plymouth
2-1
Derby
Wright (59'), Hardie (70' pen.)
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Derby
2-3
Plymouth
Collins (26'), Mendez-Laing (38')
McGoldrick (57')
Whittaker (56'), Cosgrove (77', 90')
Mumba (34')
Jan 26, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-0
Derby
Mackie (82')
Fallon (29'), Sawyer (45')

McEveley (14'), Pearson (38'), Hunt (45'), Savage (78'), Buxton (81')
Aug 22, 2009 3pm
Derby
2-1
Plymouth
Buxton (40'), Addison (90')
Addison (76')
Judge (17' pen.)
Fletcher (90')
Feb 7, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
0-3
Derby
Hulse (46', 52'), Teale (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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