Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Plymouth Argyle.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 3-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Plymouth Argyle | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Derby County | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Cambridge United | 6 | -1 | 10 |
Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 Bristol Rovers (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Peterborough United | 6 | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | Plymouth Argyle | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Derby County | 6 | 2 | 11 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 50.6%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
50.6% ( -1.47) | 24.32% ( 0.24) | 25.08% ( 1.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
