Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | SC Farense |
49.11% ( 0.02) | 26.77% ( 0.56) | 24.12% ( -0.58) |
Both teams to score 45.91% ( -2.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.97% ( -2.44) | 58.03% ( 2.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.29% ( -1.96) | 78.71% ( 1.96) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.27% ( -1.04) | 23.73% ( 1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.14% ( -1.52) | 57.86% ( 1.52) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.19% ( -1.89) | 39.81% ( 1.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.52% ( -1.79) | 76.48% ( 1.79) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.82) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.51% Total : 49.1% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.84) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.38% Total : 24.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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