We said: Famalicao 1-0 SC Farense
The home side got off to a decent start under a new manager with a 3-3 draw at Braga, and they will be desperate to register their first win under Oliveira.
Given Farense's well-documented road struggles and a loss on their last visit to the Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, a narrow 1-0 victory for the home side seems likely.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.