Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
20.74% ( -0.3) | 25.91% ( -0.16) | 53.35% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 44.45% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.06% ( 0.26) | 57.94% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.36% ( 0.2) | 78.64% ( -0.2) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.85% ( -0.18) | 43.15% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.59% ( -0.15) | 79.41% ( 0.15) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.18% ( 0.3) | 21.82% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.96% ( 0.46) | 55.04% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.74% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 14.33% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.91% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.92% Total : 53.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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