Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Famalicao |
34.37% ( -0.39) | 28.42% ( -0.14) | 37.21% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 46.48% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.16% ( 0.47) | 59.84% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.88% ( 0.36) | 80.12% ( -0.36) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.27% ( -0.02) | 32.73% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.71% ( -0.02) | 69.28% ( 0.02) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.09% ( 0.57) | 30.91% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.8% ( 0.67) | 67.2% ( -0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.36% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.41% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.09% Total : 37.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
17 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
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