Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 46.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
46.12% ( -0.09) | 27.78% ( -0.05) | 26.1% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 44.89% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8% ( 0.24) | 60.2% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.61% ( 0.18) | 80.38% ( -0.18) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.87% ( 0.07) | 26.13% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.8% ( 0.09) | 61.19% ( -0.09) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.76% ( 0.25) | 39.24% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.05% ( 0.23) | 75.95% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 13.76% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 46.12% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.47% Total : 26.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 25 | 24 |
2 | Porto | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 21 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Braga | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
10 | AVS | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
11 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 7 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |