Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
52.17% ( 0.44) | 24.91% ( 0.21) | 22.93% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 49.91% ( -1.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.86% ( -1.43) | 52.14% ( 1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.14% ( -1.25) | 73.86% ( 1.24) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.03% ( -0.38) | 19.97% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.86% ( -0.62) | 52.14% ( 0.61) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.36% ( -1.4) | 37.63% ( 1.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.59% ( -1.4) | 74.41% ( 1.39) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.16% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.64% Total : 22.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |