Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Famalicao |
32.09% ( 0.45) | 28.92% ( 0.14) | 38.99% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 44.69% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.14% ( -0.38) | 61.87% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.36% ( -0.28) | 81.64% ( 0.28) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.61% ( 0.13) | 35.39% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.85% ( 0.13) | 72.15% ( -0.13) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.16% ( -0.54) | 30.84% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.88% ( -0.64) | 67.12% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 32.08% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.91% | 0-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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