Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Famalicao |
39.47% ( 0.32) | 28.95% | 31.58% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 44.47% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.93% ( -0.07) | 62.07% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.21% ( -0.05) | 81.78% ( 0.05) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% ( 0.16) | 30.66% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( 0.19) | 66.9% ( -0.19) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.13% ( -0.28) | 35.87% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.35% ( -0.28) | 72.65% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 13% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.46% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.95% | 0-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 31.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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