Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica5 - 0Chaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 4-3 Juventus
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Chaves 3-1 Gil Vicente
Sunday, October 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Benfica 3-1 Chaves
Benfica have flown out of the blocks this season and currently sit comfortably at the top of the Primeira Liga standings. While we expect the visitors to put up a fight, we are backing As Aguias to pick up where they dropped off in the Champions League and claim all three points in front of their home fans. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 9.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 3-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Chaves |
74.11% ( -0.18) | 16% ( 0.1) | 9.89% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.38% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
