Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Benfica |
20.04% ( 0.43) | 23.86% ( 0.36) | 56.1% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 49.16% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.84% ( -0.9) | 51.16% ( 0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.99% ( -0.79) | 73.01% ( 0.79) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.01% ( -0.05) | 39.99% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.36% ( -0.04) | 76.64% ( 0.04) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.92% ( -0.62) | 18.08% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51% ( -1.07) | 49% ( 1.07) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.31% Total : 20.04% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 10.57% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 6.03% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.35% Total : 56.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |