Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca2 - 2Guimaraes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arouca 1-2 Boavista
Sunday, September 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Chaves | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Arouca | 6 | -9 | 7 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 7 | -3 | 6 |
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Santa Clara
Friday, September 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, September 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 7 | -1 | 9 |
We said: Arouca 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
With just two points separating the sides in the league table, we anticipate a cagey affair at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca this weekend. Arouca and Vitoria de Guimaraes are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will both take a cautious approach to the game and force a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 35.39%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (12.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
35.39% ( -0.03) | 29.9% ( 0.06) | 34.71% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.41% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
