Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Arouca |
51.23% | 24.22% | 24.56% |
Both teams to score 53.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.17% | 47.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.98% | 70.02% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.33% | 18.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.99% | 50.01% |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.21% | 33.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.54% | 70.46% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 8.88% 3-1 @ 5.39% 3-0 @ 4.97% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.26% Total : 51.22% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 6.31% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 6.85% 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |