Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio D Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes2 - 1Braga
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-2 Braga
Vitoria de Guimaraes have struggled to get going in recent weeks, claiming just one win in their last six outings. Braga, meanwhile, head into the game in resurgent form, and we expect them to extend their dominance in this fixture and come away with all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Braga had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Braga |
| 39.83% | 24.75% | 35.41% |
| Both teams to score 58.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
