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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 30, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estádio Municipal
Braga

Arouca
0 - 6
Braga


Valderrama (9'), Evangelista (45+4')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Oliveira (5', 12', 26'), Medeiros (71' pen.), Fernandes (74', 80')
Couto (54'), Mineiro (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Arouca 1-2 Braga

While Braga appear to have fallen off the rails in recent weeks, they head into Thursday's game unbeaten in each of their last six games against Arouca. We predict they will extend their dominance in this fixture and claim all three points, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawBraga
24.96%25.42%49.61%
Both teams to score 50.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57%52.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89%74.11%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.05%35.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.27%72.73%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.85%21.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46%54%
Score Analysis
    Arouca 24.96%
    Braga 49.62%
    Draw 25.42%
AroucaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 7.78%
2-1 @ 6.18%
2-0 @ 3.98%
3-1 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.64%
3-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.96%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 11.81%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-2 @ 9.18%
1-3 @ 4.86%
0-3 @ 4.75%
2-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.85%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 49.62%

How you voted: Arouca vs Braga

Arouca
16.2%
Draw
13.5%
Braga
70.3%
37
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2017 4pm
Braga
3-1
Arouca
Fonte (12', 69'), Battaglia (73')
Vukcevic (53')
Mateus (17')
Kuca (15'), Valente (27'), Gonzalez (75'), Nelsinho (83')
Oct 2, 2016 8.15pm
Arouca
1-1
Braga
Gonzalez (85')
Valente (11'), Carleto (28'), Crivellaro (92')
Santos (49')
Djavan (22'), Rosic (39'), Matheus (84')
Feb 27, 2016 6.30pm
Arouca
0-0
Braga
Adilson (54'), Gege (56'), Bernardes (84')
Augusto Carvalho Souza (40'), Santos (56')
Fonte (57'), Djavan (64')
Oct 4, 2015 6pm
Braga
0-0
Arouca
Goiano (59'), Ferreira (65'), Boly (88')
Moreira (40'), Basto (58'), Rodrigues (70'), Valente (83'), Dabo (92')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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