Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.