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[monks data]
Boavista
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Dec 28, 2020 at 9pm UK
Estádio do Bessa
Braga

Boavista
1 - 4
Braga

Castro (66')
Benguche (81')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Paulinho (4'), Medeiros (15'), Horta (26', 69')
Elmusrati (67')

Preview: Boavista vs. Braga - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Braga make the trip to Boavista on Monday evening looking to keep the pressure on the top three in the Primeira Liga standings.

Meanwhile, the home side head into this contest looking to improve on three successive draws, results which have kept the club outside of the bottom two.


Match preview

Carlos Carvalhal, now in charge of Sporting Braga, pictured in June 2020© Reuters

A slow start to the season has meant that Braga have always been playing catch-up with regards to remaining competitive in the Primeira Liga title race.

However, seven victories from eight matches have put Carlos Carvahal's side in a much more favourable position ahead of the turn of the year.

While the 2-1 defeat at Belenenses earlier this month halted Braga's surge, they were able to respond with a routine 3-0 success against Rio Ave in their most recent league outing.

Sitting just five points adrift of leaders Sporting Lisbon, Braga will feel confident about eventually closing down the gap, as well as keeping pace with Benfica and Porto.

The trip to Sporting follows the game on Monday evening, and Carvahal will stress to his squad that they must take advantage of their opportunity to make their presence known further up the table.

Despite Boavista's lowly position in the table, Braga will take nothing for granted against opponents who have already proven that they can get the better of the top teams in the division.

Os Axadrezados are still searching for consistency under Vasco Seabra, but the manner in which they dispatched of Benfica earlier in the season was a reminder of their qualities.

Just three points have followed from the next four matches, but their three stalemates during that period came against clubs occupying positions in the top 10.

Although they remain with the third-worst defensive record in the league, Seabra witnessed his side concede just one goal in the games against Belenenses, Rio Ave and Pacos de Ferreira.

Boavista Primeira Liga form: DWLDDD
Boavista form (all competitions): LWDDLD

Braga Primeira Liga form: WWWWLW
Braga form (all competitions): WLWWWW


Team News

Gustavo Sauer pictured in action for Boavista in June 2020© Reuters

Despite only being held by Pacos de Ferreira through a late equaliser, Seabra may still make a couple of changes to his Boavista XI.

Nuno Santos could come in as a replacement for Gustavo Sauer, while Alejandro Gomez is in contention for a recall in the centre of defence.

Depending on the fitness of Wenderson Galeno, Carvahal could be forced into a reshuffle in defence and midfield.

If Galeno is absent, Nuno Sequeira may switch to left wing-back, with David Carmo being handed a recall to a three-man backline.

The six-day turnaround could result in the rest of the Braga side remaining the same.

Boavista possible starting lineup:
Jardim; Cannon, Awaziem, Gomez, Hamache; Paulinho, Garcia, Santos; Elis, Gomes, Njie

Braga possible starting lineup:
Matheus; Tormena, Viana, Carmo; Esgaio, Fransergio, Castro, Sequeira; Medeiros, Horta; Paulinho


SM words green background

We say: Boavista 1-2 Braga

While Boavista's sole success this season came against Benfica, they have not been able to produce that kind of performance on a regular basis. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to edge a close contest on Sunday evening, potentially via a late goal when the home side are trying to hold onto a point.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 16.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Boavista vs Braga

Boavista
8.3%
Draw
12.5%
Braga
79.2%
48
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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