Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 47.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Santa Clara |
47.91% ( -0.21) | 28.13% ( 0.08) | 23.96% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 42.28% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.39% ( -0.17) | 62.61% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.81% ( -0.12) | 82.18% ( 0.12) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.65% ( -0.18) | 26.35% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.5% ( -0.24) | 61.49% ( 0.24) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.41% ( 0.02) | 42.58% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.06% ( 0.02) | 78.94% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 14.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.87% Total : 47.91% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.12% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.08% Total : 23.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 35 |
6 | Casa Pia | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 29 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 27 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 24 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 22 |
14 | Nacional | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 12 |
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