Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Chaves |
50.28% ( 0.01) | 26.19% ( 0) | 23.53% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.89% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.55% ( -0.02) | 56.45% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.55% ( -0.02) | 77.45% ( 0.02) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.48% ( -0) | 22.52% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.9% ( -0.01) | 56.1% ( 0.01) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.52% ( -0.03) | 39.47% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.83% ( -0.02) | 76.17% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 50.27% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 1.41% Total : 23.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |