Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
48.46% ( -0.07) | 26.3% ( 0) | 25.23% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.2% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.43% ( 0.03) | 55.57% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.26% ( 0.02) | 76.74% ( -0.03) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.04% ( -0.02) | 22.96% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.25% ( -0.03) | 56.75% ( 0.02) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.56% ( 0.07) | 37.44% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.78% ( 0.07) | 74.22% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.46% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 25.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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